Black Sea Grain Initiative In Jeopardy

Black Sea Grain Initiative Suspended

Russia pulled out of the deal that allowed safe passage of Ukrainian grain shipments across the Black Sea after Kerch Bridge Incident linking Russia to Crimea was damaged on july 17, 2023. The bridge is strategically important to Russia, and its damage in a recent attack led Russia to suspend its participation in the grain export agreement brokered by the UN and Turkey.

Russia likely backed out of the deal as retaliation for the bridge attack and to put pressure on Ukraine and its Western backers. However, the move has further disrupted the grain supplies and could worsen the global food crisis.

Black Sea Grain Initiative

The Black Sea Grain Initiative is an international project aimed at stabilizing food prices and ensuring the delivery of food and fertilizer to global markets. The signing of the initiative took place in Istanbul on July 22, 2022, and the first commercial ship transporting grain within this framework set off in August 2022.

The initiative has successfully transported 25 million metric tons of grains and food items, effectively reducing food prices and stabilizing global markets. It plays a crucial role in global food security, particularly for the most vulnerable nations, with developing countries benefiting the most.

However, as of July 17, 2023, Russia has decided to suspend its participation in the Black Sea Grain Initiative.

This article will explore the implications current situation and the potential impact on the global food and fertilizer market. Additionally, we will examine the challenges facing Ukraine and the UN as they navigate this complex situation.

black sea bordering countries
black sea bordering countries

Procedure of the Black Sea Grain Initiative

AspectInformation
Inspection of vesselsVessels undergo inspection off Istanbul to ensure they are empty of cargo
Safe passage corridorMaritime humanitarian corridor through which vessels sail to Ukrainian ports
24/7 monitoringThe corridor is monitored continuously to ensure the safe passage of vessels
Inspection on returnVessels are also inspected at the inspection area off Istanbul on their return journey
Black Sea Grain Initiative

Key Takeaways

  • War in Ukraine starting in February 2022 caused global suffering by disrupting wheat, corn, and sunflower oil exports
  • Prices spiked as Ukraine/Russia supply 30% of exported wheat, 20% of corn, 75% of sunflower oil
  • COVID had already disrupted global supply chains prior to the war
  • International community brokered deal between Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, UN to create humanitarian corridors from Ukrainian ports
  • Allowed over 30 million tons of Ukrainian grain to be exported through Black Sea corridor
  • Brought down global commodity prices around 20% from peak in March 2022
  • World Food Programme worked to ensure food reached poorest countries reliant on aid like Yemen, Somalia
  • Prices dropping meant aid dollars could buy more food to help more people
  • Black Sea Initiative showed UN power to solve urgent global problems
Black Sea Grain Initiative Overview
Black Sea Grain Initiative Overview

Black Sea Grain Initiative Overview

AspectInformation
PurposeResume vital food and fertilizer exports from Ukraine to the rest of the world
BrokersUnited Nations and Turkey
Countries involvedRussia, Turkey, Ukraine
Exported goodsGrain, foodstuffs, and fertilizer (including ammonia)
Safe corridor portsChornomorsk, Odesa, and Yuzhny/Pivdennyi in Ukraine
Black Sea Grain Initiative

Joint Coordination Centre

Joint Coordination Centre (JCC) Information

AspectInformation
PurposeMonitor the implementation of the Black Sea Grain Initiative
Hosted inIstanbul
Representatives fromRussia, Turkey, Ukraine, and the United Nations
UN’s roleActs as the Secretariat for the Centre
Black Sea Grain Initiative

Established to monitor the implementation of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, the Joint Coordination Centre (JCC) is a collaborative effort between Turkey, Ukraine, Russia, and the UN. Hosted in Istanbul, the JCC is responsible for overseeing the safe maritime transportation of grain, foodstuffs, and fertilizer from three key Ukrainian ports to the rest of the world.

Vessels carrying these goods are inspected before sailing through the maritime humanitarian corridor to the Ukrainian ports, and again upon their return journey.

The JCC is an essential component of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, ensuring that exports are conducted in a safe and transparent manner. It is imperative that the JCC continues to function effectively to maintain the integrity of the initiative.

Future of the Black Sea Grain Initiative

Saudi Arabia Takes Initiative to Mediate Russia-Ukraine Conflict

  • Saudi Arabia will host critical peace talks between Ukraine and its allies on August 5th and 6th in Jeddah, marking a significant step towards mediating the conflict.
  • The negotiations come as Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked, both unwilling to compromise on their respective visions for peace.

Details of the Upcoming Jeddah Peace Talks

  • Attendees: The UK, EU, India, South Africa, Poland, and the US National Security Advisor have confirmed they will participate. Russia was not invited after rejecting Ukraine’s latest peace proposal.
  • Goals: Ukraine aims to garner support for its 10-point peace plan, the talks present an opportunity to involve non-aligned nations and expand mediation process beyond Western allies.
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